| vs LHP | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2011
|
31
|
0.323
|
0.323
|
0.548
|
2012
|
83
|
0.274
|
0.354
|
0.397
|
Career
|
114
|
0.288
|
0.345
|
0.442
|
Conclusion: probably too small of a sample size to draw any real conclusions. Sure it looks like he'd do fine against left-handed pitchers and become a full-time player, but so did Brennan Boesch . No, I don't think Dirks will end up being as bad as Boesch, but I do think there needs to be a bigger sample to say he can hit this well against left-handed pitchers.
The real reason for the platoon probably has to do with durability. Dirks has had some injuries the last two years and getting regular days off will hopefully keep him healthy for a full season.
The other issue with Dirks is that he had an inflated BABIP of .365 last year that will be hard to sustain. When that normalizes, his production will fall. Using FanGraphs' numbers (and this equation for xBABIP):
| GB | FB | LD | BABIP | xBABIP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011
|
34.4%
|
46.7%
|
18.9%
|
0.273
|
0.284
|
2012
|
38.2%
|
37.5%
|
24.3%
|
0.365
|
0.320
|
Experts' Predictions/Projections:
| AB | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI | SB | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steamer
|
320
|
0.273
|
0.325
|
0.425
|
9
|
42
|
4
|
23
|
54
|
Oliver
|
466
|
0.275
|
0.326
|
0.427
|
12
|
58
|
15
|
33
|
85
|
ZiPS
|
450
|
0.276
|
0.321
|
0.418
|
12
|
49
|
11
|
27
|
80
|
Bill James
|
484
|
0.283
|
0.335
|
0.438
|
14
|
58
|
10
|
36
|
76
|
RotoChamp
|
320
|
0.291
|
0.342
|
0.456
|
9
|
47
|
3
|
22
|
53
|
CBS Sports
|
410
|
0.290
|
0.336
|
0.459
|
12
|
47
|
4
|
28
|
67
|
ESPN
|
410
|
0.285
|
0.332
|
0.441
|
12
|
47
|
10
|
27
|
66
|
MLB.com
|
454
|
0.289
|
0.337
|
0.443
|
12
|
44
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
FanGraphs' Fans (17)
|
436
|
0.280
|
0.333
|
0.422
|
11
|
61
|
7
|
33
|
72
|
My Prediction:
| AB | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI | SB | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2012 Prediction
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2012 Actual
|
314
|
0.322
|
0.370
|
0.487
|
8
|
35
|
1
|
23
|
53
|
2013 Prediction
|
410
|
0.276
|
0.324
|
0.422
|
11
|
48
|
5
|
27
|
70
|
Fantasy Impact: Do to limited at bats and regression from an inflated BABIP, Dirks should probably be a non-factor in all fantasy leagues.
No comments:
Post a Comment