Wednesday, May 30, 2012

A Look at Casey Crosby

The Tigers just placed Doug Fister on the DL and have called up Casey Crosby to make his ML debut on Friday. I had ranked Crosby #4 on Tigers prospects. Here's what I had said about him:
Crosby has already missed some time with Tommy John surgery, however scouts still like him. He has 3 pitches, a mid-90s fastball, an above-average curveball and a changeup. All could be plus pitches for him, but command and control is still an issue and the high walk rate this year shows that it is still a problem. If he can command his pitches, he could end up as a mid-rotation starter, but he may be destined for the bullpen.
Crosby has battled injuries, but has been healthy the last 2 years after coming back from Tommy John Surgery. Here are his stats the last 2 years:

2011 - (AA) 131 2/3 IP , 4.10 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 8.27 K/9, 5.26 BB/9
2012 - (AAA) 50 2/3 IP, 4.26 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 10.13 K/9, 4.62 BB/9

Courtesy of Minor League Central , we can take a deeper look at the stats along with some splits. Unfortunately, they haven't updated to Crosby's latest start, which was one of his best ones all year (7 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 10 K).

2011 (AA) - 4.32 FIP, 4.18 SIERA, 15.5% LD, 53.7% GB, 27.2% FB, 3.5% Unknown, .314 BABIP
2012 (AAA) - 3.60 FIP, 3.48 SIERA, 16.9% LD, 48.3% GB, 30.5% FB, 3.4 Unknown, .292 BABIP

I combined bunts with groundballs and Outfield fly balls with Infield fly balls to keep the standard LD/FB/GB splits. His FIP and SIERA have improved, but he's getting less groundballs in AAA.

L/R Splits:

2011:
L - 159 PA, .244/.367/.351, 32 K, 22 BB
R - 411 PA, .256/.357/.386, 89 K, 55 BB

2012:
L - 47 PA, .214/.283/.500, 19 K, 4 BB
R - 143 PA, .226/.322/.315, 31 K, 18 BB

2011 & 2012:
L - 206 PA, .237/.348/.387, 51 K, 26 BB
R - 554 PA, .248/.348/.368, 120 K, 73 BB

He seems to get righties out just as well as lefties, although that .500 SLG against lefties in 2012 seems worrisome. Although it's probably an anomaly due to small sample sizes.

There's a ton more stats on the site . I'm anxious to see how he'll perform at the ML level.

1 comment:

  1. I'm concerned to say the least. To make your debut against the Yankees is a tough assignment. I am hopeful, but not expecting much.

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